{"id":5290,"date":"2025-07-16T00:11:52","date_gmt":"2025-07-16T00:11:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/?p=5290"},"modified":"2025-07-16T00:14:17","modified_gmt":"2025-07-16T00:14:17","slug":"u-s-agricultural-exports-opportunities-amidst-global-shifts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/2025\/07\/16\/u-s-agricultural-exports-opportunities-amidst-global-shifts\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Agricultural Exports: Opportunities Amidst Global Shifts"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Based on the projected changes presented in the Foreign Agricultural Service\u2019s World Agricultural Production Circular<\/a> for major crops and the USDA 2024 Agricultural Export Outlook<\/a>, we expect several U.S. export industries to benefit:<\/p>\n\n

Corn<\/h2>\n

Global coarse-grain production is projected to increase to 1,547.1 million metric tons (mmt)<\/strong> for the 2025\/26 season (World Agricultural Production Report, July 2025<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n

Despite Brazil experiencing a bumper corn crop<\/a> for 2024\/25, robust domestic demand for animal feed<\/a> and ethanol production in Brazil<\/a> is expected to reduce its exportable supplies. This expected market tightening creates conducive conditions for strong U.S. corn exports<\/a> on the world market.<\/p>\n\n

Mexico\u2019s corn production<\/a> is estimated to be down 10% from the 5-year average, with yields declining due to poor crop conditions in Sinaloa<\/a>, a key corn-producing region. As Mexico remains the top U.S. corn export market<\/a>, this reduced domestic production, combined with Brazil\u2019s domestic focus, should sustain robust U.S. corn exports.<\/p>\n\n

Wheat<\/h2>\n

World wheat production<\/a> for 2025\/26 is projected to increase to 808.6 mmt.<\/p>\n\n

U.S. exportable supplies are supported by a larger planted area for winter wheat<\/a> and ample ending stocks<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n

U.S. wheat exports<\/a> are likely to remain strong in South America and will compete in Asian markets with Australian wheat<\/a>. Demand growth in Africa<\/a>, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia supports long-term U.S. export opportunities despite global supply increases.<\/p>\n\n

Soybeans<\/h2>\n

Global oilseed production<\/a> is projected to hit 693.5 mmt, driven by record Brazil soybean output<\/a> and a recovery in Argentina\u2019s production<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n

While strong global supply may pressure prices, U.S. soybean exports<\/a> are forecast to rise due to larger domestic production and growing global demand for oilseeds<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n

Pork and Pork Products<\/h2>\n

The global swine industry<\/a> is rebalancing post-ASF outbreaks in China.<\/p>\n\n

EU pork production<\/a> is expected to decline, opening doors for U.S. pork exports<\/a> in price-sensitive markets like China and Japan.<\/p>\n\n

Although Brazil remains a low-cost supplier<\/a>, rising export prices from Brazil may give U.S. pork exports a competitive price advantage<\/a> in 2025.<\/p>\n\n

Ethanol (Non-Beverage)<\/h2>\n

While not directly tied to crop volumes, U.S. ethanol exports<\/a> benefit from Brazil\u2019s biofuels market<\/a> and blending mandates<\/a>, which limit their export surplus.<\/p>\n\n

U.S. ethanol export growth is expected to continue as foreign demand rises, particularly in countries adopting low-carbon fuel standards<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n

Dairy Products (Cheese and Butterfat)<\/h2>\n

Dairy exports on a milk-fat basis<\/a> are forecast to increase in 2025, driven by cheese and butter exports<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n

New processing capacity in California and the Midwest<\/a> ensures ample supply. Growth markets in Central and South America<\/a> present expanding demand for U.S. dairy exports.<\/p>\n\n

Processed Food<\/h2>\n

U.S. processed food exports<\/a> are projected to grow with rising incomes and urbanization. Demand for shelf-stable convenience foods<\/a> is growing in high-income markets and emerging markets like Vietnam, Thailand, and Malaysia<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n

Note:<\/strong> U.S. rice and cotton exports<\/a> face increased competition.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Analysis of US Agricultural Exports and High growth potential markets<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-export"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5290","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5290"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5290\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5314,"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5290\/revisions\/5314"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5290"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5290"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/orbis.management\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5290"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}